Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.193406 0.220336 0.249261 0.282590 0.319884 0.360279 0.407294
2025-12-07 0.155221 0.190795 0.231605 0.281711 0.341388 0.409996 0.494639
2025-12-14 0.128779 0.169027 0.217880 0.281172 0.360588 0.456487 0.580562
2025-12-21 0.109437 0.152290 0.206972 0.281228 0.378703 0.501476 0.666867
2025-12-28 0.096387 0.141346 0.201326 0.286229 0.402165 0.553615 0.764837
2026-01-04 0.086795 0.133495 0.198355 0.293648 0.428418 0.610228 0.871617
2026-01-11 0.077323 0.124412 0.192337 0.295663 0.446618 0.656382 0.966454
2026-01-18 0.070710 0.118591 0.190097 0.302361 0.471257 0.712265 1.077457
2026-01-25 0.065271 0.113824 0.188724 0.309822 0.497011 0.770711 1.194931
2026-02-01 0.058629 0.106298 0.182239 0.308630 0.509255 0.809655 1.285588
2026-02-08 0.052927 0.099618 0.176332 0.307577 0.521208 0.848310 1.377312
2026-02-15 0.047857 0.093407 0.170510 0.305963 0.531797 0.885009 1.467460
2026-02-22 0.044685 0.090315 0.169787 0.312964 0.557159 0.946807 1.601171
2026-03-01 0.040658 0.085190 0.165057 0.312699 0.570386 0.989971 1.707684
2026-03-08 0.037088 0.080501 0.160615 0.312459 0.583447 1.033343 1.816556
2026-03-15 0.033976 0.076328 0.156683 0.312699 0.597153 1.078266 1.929975
2026-03-22 0.031866 0.073917 0.155778 0.318294 0.620470 1.140311 2.074728
2026-03-29 0.030254 0.072344 0.156302 0.326505 0.648855 1.212270 2.239504
2026-04-05 0.028116 0.069393 0.153831 0.328746 0.666340 1.266053 2.375427
2026-04-12 0.026699 0.067856 0.154032 0.336128 0.693712 1.338406 2.546799
2026-04-19 0.025467 0.066593 0.154661 0.344342 0.723046 1.415532 2.729888
2026-04-26 0.023468 0.063310 0.150751 0.343033 0.733885 1.459571 2.855660
2026-05-03 0.021665 0.060274 0.147077 0.341878 0.744833 1.504152 2.984163